futuretalk's Blog Posts

Earth 12000: Exploring space, time, and parallel universes

July 03 2008 / by futuretalk
Category: Other   Year: General   Rating: 8 Hot New

A glance at what life may be like ten millennia from now, by Dick Pelletier

Of course, nobody can predict exactly how the future will unfold in 10,000 years, but by tracking technology advances expected in the coming centuries, we see changes that will transform humanity into super-intelligent beings focused on developing space, exploring universes, and traveling through time.

Imagine if you could peek in on the dinosaurs’ first-hand, enjoy an exotic vacation thousands of light years from Earth, or jump into a parallel universe where another you is living a far more exciting life than yours – and you could stay there if you like.

For years, scientists around the world have bandied about the revolutionary idea that future humans could zip across the universe using wormholes as high-speed portals enabling faster-than-light travel to explore space, enter other universes, and witness the past and future.

Wormholes enable travel between its two openings. One end of the wormhole stays home while the other is carted away at sub-light velocities to the destination, connecting the two locations through a tunnel in warped space-time. A person enters the wormhole, and depending on the connection, exits to a remote destination in space, another time in the past or future, or into a parallel universe.

Consensus among most scientists has been that wormholes are so destructive; people would be torn to subatomic bits if they tried such a thing. However, a new paper by University of Utah physicist Lior Burko now raises the possibility that wormholes may not annihilate all matter, and the potential for hyperspace travel could one day be realized. (cont.)

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Cybercrime in tomorrow's hands-free voice-activated Web

July 03 2008 / by futuretalk
Category: Communication   Year: General   Rating: 8 Hot New

By Dick Pelletier

Futurist Ray Kurzweil, in his book “The Singularity is near”, offers the possibility that computers will one day become self-aware, which will result in the melding of humans and machines. He sees this process well underway by 2025, as nanobots begin to surf bloodstreams to combat disease and alter our brains to increase intelligence.

In a recent article appearing in The Futurist, “Cybercrime in the year 2025,” criminal-justice expert Gene Stephens predicts that computer and Internet use will become seamless, as hands-free, voice-activated data entry and retrieval becomes commonplace between 2010 and 2015. By 2020, nanotech will increasingly impact cyberspace; and as we try to gain the most advantages possible from our new “wonder-net,” dangerous security gaps will emerge that could turn into nightmares if not handled carefully.

For example, in 2025, as databots are implanted in users’ brains, secure firewalls must be developed to keep intruders from hacking into the ‘bots and terrorizing recipients. “Could there be a more frightening crime than having your brain-stored knowledge erased or scrambled,” Stephens asks, “or hearing voices threatening to destroy your memory unless you pay blackmail? Welcome to the world of mindstalking.”

This brings us to the long-ignored issues of who owns the Internet, manages it, and has jurisdiction over it. The answer now is: nobody. Can this powerful socio-politico-economic network continue to operate at random, open to all, and thus be vulnerable to bad guys? Attempts to restrict or police the web are met with idealists who believe that the Internet should always be free from “big brother’s” interference. (cont.)

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Stem-cell magic: despite controversy, research goes forward

July 01 2008 / by futuretalk
Category: Health & Medicine   Year: General   Rating: 6 Hot New

By Dick Pelletier

Northwestern University’s Dr. Richard Burt has treated 170 patients with stem cells, and increasingly, others are following his lead. There are now more than 1,000 stem-cell therapies in early human trials around the world.

The majority use cells from patients’ own bone marrow, but some also use cells from healthy adults, and last year the first patient was treated with embryonic cells, which have triggered debate in the U.S. After working its way out of science fiction, stem-cell therapies are finally becoming scientific fact.

Burt has treated patients with lupus, arthritis and a host of other disorders. He’s just written up the results of a stem-cell trial for type-1 diabetes. Three years after treatment, some patients now have normal blood sugar and do not require insulin. Trials for Lou Gehrig’s disease and autism are next.

The FDA is fast-tracking stem-cell therapy for leukemia which could hit the market later this year. And an approach that has helped congestive heart failure patients abroad is coming to America. Amit Patel, at the University of Pittsburgh, has injected 10 patients’ own stem cells into their hearts and has consulted on 2,000 similar operations worldwide. Stem cells help the heart by forming new blood vessels.

By the end of the next decade, researchers predict this wonder technology will create new heart muscle – and even a complete heart – but this may require the use of embryonic stem cells, which regulations currently deny government funding. (cont.)

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Space tourism - from lofty dreams to commercial reality

July 01 2008 / by futuretalk
Category: Space   Year: General   Rating: 12 Hot New

By Dick Pelletier

Space tourism has come a long way in a short time. The idea was just a dream in the 1990s, but recently, tourists have shelled out mega-bucks for a glimpse of the wild blue yonder.

Though only the rich can afford space travel today, experts predict prices will drop with new systems under development. Later this year, Virgin Galactic’s returnable Space-Ship-Two hopes to provide orbital round-trips for $200,000, and one-day, take vacationers to the moon.

By 2030, the Space Elevator, a revolutionary system under development now would climb up a nanotech-ribbon extending 62,000 miles from Earth to space and could transport passengers into the wild blue yonder for as low as $20,000 initially, then prices could drop to the $2,000-per-person range when multiple elevators become available.

As more people become space travelers, they will need a place to stay. Budget Suites of America owner Robert Bigelow has launched the first phase of a human-rated habitat module dubbed Sundancer, to an altitude of 250 nautical miles at an orbital inclination of 40 degrees. Once Sundancer is in position and verified safe, Bigelow will add more sections creating a full-scale lodging/industrial complex as early as the middle of next decade.

Satellite Industry Association President Richard Dalbello says, “Once hotel companies start to build and operate orbital accommodations, they will be endlessly improving them and competing to build more exotic facilities”. We will see hotels that provide normal gravity for rooms, bars, and restaurants; and gravity-free areas for recreation and sports activities. (cont.)

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Quantum computers will transform our lives in 20 years

June 30 2008 / by futuretalk
Category: Communication   Year: General   Rating: 9 Hot New

By Dick Pelletier

In the last two decades, advances in computing technology, from processing speed to network capacity and the Internet, have revolutionized our lives. From sequencing genomes to monitoring the climate, many scientific advances would have been impossible without an increase in computing power – and now with quantum computers (QC) on the verge of harnessing atoms and molecules to calculate billions of times faster than silicon-based computers, scientists predict an even more amazing future unfolding.

In a recent Fortune Magazine article, writers Peter Schwartz and Rita Koselka describe a QC world that includes microscopic sensors embedded in our homes, vehicles, and workplace that monitor our well-being 24/7; and a thin headband of ultrasonic transducers that wirelessly transmits information both ways between the Internet and our brain, and to other headbands.

UVA scientist Stuart Wolf anticipates that within 20 years, instead of cell-phone conversations we will have “network-enabled telepathy” – we will ‘speak’ directly to another person’s headband from anywhere in the world using just our thoughts.

Several trends drive this future forward. The cell-phone and PC are already beginning to merge and will eventually be reduced to mere ‘chips’ on our headband. If you wonder how devices can get smaller and still be accessible, keep in mind that vastly-improved voice-recognition software will soon arrive.

While voice technology only works efficiently on fast processors today, rising bandwidth will one day make this the only way to communicate with PCs and cell-phones. Goodbye keyboard!

The following scenario portrays what life might be like in this quantum future:

(cont.)

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Identity chips will soon track everything -- including you

June 27 2008 / by futuretalk
Category: Information   Year: General   Rating: 7 Hot New

By Dick Pelletier

Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) chips will soon be used in stores at point-of-sale checkout to replace cashiers. Sensors can detect purchases and automatically charge your ATM or credit card – or direct you to a cash machine. Merchants eliminate cashiers, and in our competitive world, some of the savings gets passed on to customers in lower prices.

Wal-Mart recently ordered 100 of its suppliers to place RFID tags on pallets and cases. They plan to start with inventory control, and evolve into this new technology over the coming years. Target, Home Depot, Kroger, Safeway, and most other stores are expected to follow soon.

This revolutionary identification system also gives merchants more security. If a certain Beverly Hills store had installed RFID tags, a famous actress would not have been caught shoplifting. Sensors would have detected her purchases as she walked out the door, and automatically charged her credit card – no harm no foul.

RFID chips can also be implanted in our body. Whether it’s your little one’s first day walking home from the bus stop alone, or the millionth time she’s wandered too far from the house, a chip under her collarbone reports her exact location. You chart her every move. This allows her to become more independent, and it gives you greater peace of mind.

This is not as futuristic as it sounds. Driven by 9/11, the Department of Homeland Security, in its US-VISIT program, is testing biometrics in a $15 billion attempt to build a “virtual border” around the country. This high-priority project will use facial recognition, fingerprint, hand geometry, and iris and voice recognition in an attempt to separate bad guys from good guys.

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Indefinite lifespan is within our grasp, scientists say

June 26 2008 / by futuretalk
Category: Health & Medicine   Year: General   Rating: 10 Hot New

By Dick Pelletier

Scientist and entrepreneur Ray Kurzweil claims that biotech and nanotech advances expected over the next two decades will be sufficient for humanity to slow down aging and make a realistic stab at ending death.

Kurzweil should not be taken lightly. Called “the ultimate thinking machine” by Forbes magazine, his enthusiastic fans range from Bill Gates to Bill Clinton, and a recent Time magazine article compared him with the genius of Thomas Edison.

Kurzweil believes that unraveling the human genome has enabled researchers to begin development of powerful technologies that promise to re-grow cells, tissues, and organs; reverse aging; correct bad genes; and build nanobots the size of blood cells that will roam through our bodies keeping us forever young and healthy.

In his bestselling book, Fantastic Voyage: Live Long Enough to Live Forever, co-authored with Terry Grossman, M.D., Kurzweil says, “Whereas some of my contemporaries may be satisfied to embrace aging gracefully as part of the cycle of life; that is not my view. It may be ‘natural’, but I don’t see anything positive in losing my mental agility, sensory acuity, physical limberness, sexual desire, or any other human ability”.

In a recent interview with CNN’s Fredricka Whitfield, Kurzweil revealed steps outlined in his book that bridge the gulf between today, when medical help focuses more on treating symptoms than cures; and tomorrow, when biotech and nanotech revolutions promise so many miracles. Kurzweil divides these steps, which he says anyone can take, into three bridges. (cont.)

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Energy: Can we break the tyranny of oil? Experts say we can

June 24 2008 / by futuretalk
Category: Energy   Year: General   Rating: 6 Hot

By Dick Pelletier

Energy is the life-blood of America – it affects our economy, standard of living and national security. Our prime energy source, oil, is a product we can no longer afford. Four-to-five dollar per gallon gas prices, air pollution, and global warming has brought us to the point where we must find a better energy source.

Experts predict that by 2030, new energy technologies described below could drastically cut our oil consumption, and slash reliance on electricity-producing fossil fuels like coal and natural gas almost entirely. Added to our portfolio of existing nuclear and hydroelectric power, these new energy sources could virtually eliminate our reliance on fossil fuels to run our homes and economy.

Bio-fuels – in the nation’s heartland, scientists are working to turn agricultural waste or ‘biomass’ such as switchgrass, wheat straw, cornstalks and miscanthus into a fuel called cellulosic ethanol that could be produced commercially. Department of Energy (DOE) officials believe that by 2030, bio-fuels could meet 30 percent of our transportation fuel needs.

Hydrogen – this new technology stores energy more effectively than batteries, burns twice as efficiently in a fuel cell as gasoline does in an internal combustion engine and leaves only water. It’s plentiful, clean, and capable of powering cars, homes and factories. The DOE predicts an all-hydrogen vehicle could become price effective by 2020; and by 2030, this renewable non-polluting energy could power ten percent of our cars, homes and factories; by 2050, 50 percent. (cont.)

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Household robots: smart, loyal, humanoid 'bots here by 2020

June 24 2008 / by futuretalk
Category: Technology   Year: General   Rating: 9 Hot

By Dick Pelletier

Imagine a machine that sets the table, creates and serves dinner, cleans house, and never complains. This may sound like something out of The Jetsons, but in labs everywhere, scientists believe that one day, we will share our homes with loyal robot servants that enthusiastically tackle mundane chores, freeing us for more fulfilling activities.

Carnegie Mellon’s Hans Moravec believes that by 2020, we will create robots in humanoid form, able to express reasoning and emotion, and eager to perform household tasks. These “smart” machines will walk the dog, put groceries away, find and fetch things, mimic human feelings of compassion and love, and become friends with family members.

2020s robots will appear amazingly human-like. Moravec suggests they could be powered by fuel cells that are cooled by a squeeze pump which beats like a heart while circulating alcohol as a coolant. They would “drink wine” for fuel, and breathe air like humans.

Design tricks like these, along with soft “nanoskin” will make tomorrow’s ‘bots seem uncannily human, encouraging us to perceive them as friends. Author Ray Kurzweil says tomorrow’s ‘droids could quickly learn to flesh out positive feelings, which would provide an allure difficult for humans to resist.

How about robo-love? Jason Nemeth, in his essay, Should Robots Feel, believes love-companion robots will be practical in the future and could easily fill the role of a partner, satisfying our intimacy needs. Nemeth is not sure whether human/robot love would experience higher success rate than love between two humans; but he says technologies will unlock the possibilities, and human curiosity will make it happen. (cont.)

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How 'bout uploading memories, feelings into a perfect body

June 23 2008 / by futuretalk
Category: Other   Year: General   Rating: 8 Hot

By Dick Pelletier

The World Health Organization describes good health as “a state of complete physical, mental, and social well-being”. This sounds like utopia, but what does it actually mean? Besides family, friends, a faithful pet, and plenty of clean air and sunshine, what else contributes to our well-being? We could add feeling happy, feeling smart, and being in control of our bodies.

According to a recent article in New Scientist Magazine, most people enjoy the conveniences in today’s modern homes – air conditioning, entertainment, appliances, etc. Cars also provide freedom and joy on the open road; and the Internet empowers us with easy access to information and new ways to communicate with friends.

Modern drugs prevent or delay the onset of heart disease, cancer, and mental disorders, which give us greater control over our bodies.

But life has not always been this good: 100 years ago, average lifespan was in the 40’s. Child mortality, malaria, TB, malnutrition, and warfare were the most common culprits that brought life to an end. Yet, in spite of living short, disease-ridden lives, our ancestors survived.

My great grandmother lived from 1855 to 1946. At a young age, she left her home in Indiana and headed west. She married, homesteaded a farm, and gave birth to 15 children. This would be difficult for many, but Grandma was tough. Fortunately for me, she survived and our lineage continued. (cont.)

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